I-MAG STS |
Written some years ago, the IMAGSTS CHIRU software was named for
an obscure Tibetan antelope |
(Pantholops hodgsonii) that was associated with fraudulent
photojournalism by Liu Weiqing in 2007. |
We have no
updates on the status of Liu Weiqing. There is considerable
dispute about whether the |
antelopes
are prospering or if the populations have merely stabilized. The
primary problem is the chiru |
grows a
very soft, light and warm underfur called shahtoosh (Persian =
king of wools). This motivates |
poachers.
Of considerable biological interest is that the chiru is the
only mammal known to retain |
fetal hemoglobin.
In the case of the chiru this provides a metabolic advantage
needed to survive at the |
altitudes the
antelopes often live at. The 2004 movie Kekexili: Mountain
Patrol is recommended. |
The CHIRU software asserted
that election results could be predicted on the basis of
economic measures. |
That implied if the reported
results varied significantly there might be irregularities in
the voting - |
or even in the reported
econometric figures. Normally, we preferred to use CHIRU on the
bright side - |
to
estimate the likelihood of Theresa May being replaced as Prime
Minister or of Jacinda Ardern being
|
re-elected as Prime Minister of New
Zealand in a landslide. On what might be called the dark side
CHIRU |
was used
somewhat reluctantly to confirms concerns about massive
voting irregularities in the Bolivian 2019
|
election, among others. There
we expected either a replacement election or a run-off - we did
not expect |
the multiple resignations that followed. |
In any case, a
combination of flattery and extortion served to get COVID-19
cases and deaths added as |
factors. As has
been dwelt upon at some length elsewhere, the COVID data does
not have a reputation for |
accuracy. Neither
does econometric data, notably unemployment and poverty, from
the United States. |
Predictions
posted 10/26 on the Silver Wolf Wushu blog: |
For President - Electoral votes: Joseph Biden: 343; Donald Trump: 195
|
For the House of Representatives: 250 Democrats; 185 Republicans
|
For the US Senate: 47 Democrats; 2 Independents and 46 Republicans with
5 races (Montana, North Carolina, |
2 in Georgia
and Iowa) being too close to call. CHIRU estimates it is very unlikely that Republicans win all five,
so it
|
is likely
control of the Senate passes to the Democrats, although by a
slim margin.
|
|
Back to
IMAGSTS pages |
Predicted Electoral College
votes by US State
click here |